It has been floating around the sphere and even wider Internet. What exactly? That the Democrats face the possibility of being primaryed or will collapse. Long ago, Julian Assange had an interesting wall of text tweet that mentioned the Democrats’ chances for collapse, and several others have discussed the base frustration, the base’s split and the chance for primarying. It will not happen.
One need not look far back for the last time this was floated out before the Bernie inspired socialists. Hey, remember Occupy Wall Street, kids? We all saw OWS fail while the Tea Party was a semi-success. Michael Lewis was so ignorant of the game that he thought OWS would be the bet for long term success and how fast did OWS die? Within three, maybe five months? I will count the spending slowdown and sequestration when only holding one portion of Congress as success for the Tea Party but they were an army in search of a general.
The Tea Party rallies eventually sucked in big money donors that could use candidates to jump ahead of well developed paths and get their pet issues and cronyism some attention. The major thing though was culturally the right had a core of middle and upper middle class angry voters that could pool money for fundraising, use the internet and shrink GOP Inc. vs. Insurgent money gaps from 10-1 to 3-1. Enthusiasm made up for the rest.
There is no separate pool of money to fund insurgents versus the Left’s current system. Bernie voters are young and broke. Look at the Left’s coalition. The Jews, gays and older whites are all DNC approved, and the Obama crowd, which is pure woke capital puppetry. They won’t rebel. Blacks and Mexicans do not have money to fund insurgent candidates. Asians are a smaller voting bloc, have some money, but their desires and needs would clash with the voting muscle in Democrat districts.
If there is a possibility, it lies with an outsider. Here is where Bloomberg or Zuckerberg comes in. Maybe neither is in position this year but if either wants to run in ‘24, then here is a path and means that involves primarying the incumbent Ds.
1. Dems having infighting. The Bernie letdown and further drift left causes fissures. These two can see trends online to gauge how much and who to mobilize.
2. Who lies in wait for 2024? No one? Newsom or maybe Cuomo.
3. There will be an angry base and a new census with new gerrymandering.
4. Bloomberg/Zuck becomes the deep pockets and sets up a SuperPAC that is Occupy Wall St themed or economic populist themed to primary a ton of old timer Dems.
5. The deeper the blue district or state, the easier this is. Look at how Eric Cantor lost years ago. He lost because his district was so safely red that there was a mass of angry red voters to toss him out, and on the cheap!
6. Bloomberg was the name everyone on his side discussed in the 2018 election cycle a la Nixon in ’66, but he miscalculated with his debate performances in February.
7. Some of his candidates win, not all, but some. With Zuck’s control of Facebook and not being an official candidate, he can shift Facebook feeds to his favored candidates. Bloomberg could do the same with his media empire.
8. Both now have a SuperPAC that is outside normal channels and has the Facebook media org tied to promote people with an election cycle under his belt. It becomes a practice election.
9. 2024 Bloomberg/Zuck run and if either won would walk in with democrats grateful to him dependent on his power island.
Dems cant be primaryed because their money donors are all enjoying the slower move to the left a la GoldmanSachs with a rainbow flag woke capital style. No one can primary them? What source of funds is there to fund these candidates? NONE. Zuck solves that on his own. Bloomberg is just as capable! Neither would start a party, doing what Macron just did. Too much effort.
Zuckerberg may not be positioning for a run at all but something else. In all honesty, he has more power now as leader of the Facebook maw than being the occupant of the Oval Office. Maybe Zuck wants to be tech czar in a future Democrat administration, where he can do to tech policy what GE did with industrial policy under Obama. A Zuck/Bloomberg *alliance* might make it an unstoppable force.
Zuck has trend data. Zuck can also see the writing on the wall. He has access to trend data no one else does that is all tied to real people. Zuck could just be positioning himself for mercy if the plebians get the torches and pitchforks out. He also may be setting himself up to be the partner to another power player. Neither man is charismatic, so really, they have two years to find a third piece to complete their triumvirate.