The presidential campaign season has elongated as the stakes grow. Candidates build a resume for a long march towards the Oval Office but in the last decade what used to be a twelve to fifteen month official campaign season has stretched to be twenty-four months and now possibly a continuous affair. The current focus is on the brewing DeSantis vs. Trump GOP primary battle. This humble writer will advise Governor DeSantis to not run.
It’s fairly simple. Trump has a wide swath of support from the base and looks difficult to beat due to winner take all delegate allocations. While Trump has his flaws, no one can knock him off his perch due to his unique coalition. Trump draws in the working class, which outnumbers the educated, professional GOP vote bloc. The GOP tastemakers still fail to see that this is the base now and the +$100,000 earners of the ‘90s (many small business owners) that voted GOP are gone and replaced by a class of liberally indoctrinated educated voters and left leaning professional managerial class.
This unique Trump appeal matters more than DeSantis boosters want to admit. How does DeSantis retain the Trump margins in rural WI, PA, MI of 2016? Where exactly does he stand on the three pillars of on-shoring business, restricting immigration and not starting needless wars that captured those voters? The 2016 Trump map is the battle-space, and Arizona and Georgia must be re-taken on top of flipping one of those Big 10 states (both tasks are tougher now due to ballot harvesting). DeSantis cannot make up for rural erosion up north with a comeback in the suburbs due to numbers, as even in George Bush’s high tide ‘04 campaign he still fell short 10,000 votes in Wisconsin and +100,000 votes short in Michigan. One quickly envisions a DeSantis Electoral map resembling Romney’s with Ohio and Florida added. Good, but not good enough. There is no path to 270 without securing a Midwest blue wall state.
The other danger to DeSantis is engaging in a messy primary fight with a sharp tongued opponent who will draw blood. Gov. DeSantis will have a bloody shirt whether he wins or loses the primary, which would hurt him for ‘28. The ‘28 presidential election, while demographics favor Democrats as time moves on, will be an open primary, and Gov. DeSantis will no longer be a governor, free to campaign all he wants on listening tours and events. The ‘28 cycle is DeSantis’ cycle for the taking. As he accumulates more resume accomplishments, he can also build a roadmap for other red state governors to copy. He is a good governor, and as federal overreach and tyranny grow, we need more governors like DeSantis. The federal power continues to centralize just as its incompetence grows. Building up regional state power matters; more than a sacrificial presidential run.
A final danger is the risk of a spurned third party run by Trump in states that do not have sore loser laws. Trump can fund one. Would he spend his own money on it? That is the sticking point. It is a different media environment both legacy and social. They can shut Trump out, but even 5% can swing a dozen states.
What neither side of this primary fight will admit is the Democrats’ ballot harvesting program make a ‘24 victory look near impossible. Who is implementing such a program on the right? This should have been started up after the ‘18 midterms dry-run of the Democrats’ program. Four years of nothing. Without such a program, the vote harvesting scam will continue.
One right wing dream scenario is Trump wins ‘24 and DeSantis wins ‘28, giving the right a dozen years to slow down immigration (or shut it off) and attack the federal bureaucracy (Schedule F measures and Church Committee 2.0). Will that save America? Unlikely, as the more layers of massive reform needed resembles the coup complete problem and we have not discussed woke cultural dominance or demographic change.
Another, darker dream scenario is DeSantis does run now and overcomes Trump quickly due to a favorable early primary schedule and a bandwagon effect. Trump does not run third party, and the GOP hacks and influencers get giddy. Then, shock of all shocks, DeSantis is called a Nazi, a fascist, evil, DeathSantis, etc. for months. He loses in a spectacular, rigged outcome. Finally, the gentle souls of the taste-making right will understand it does not matter, no one is good enough, the Oval Office is closed for their entry and alternatives must be entertained as the empire spins out.
All should note that Biden himself has claimed there are ways to prevent Trump from running. If the Nordstream 2 pipeline is an indication, expect DOJ tomfoolery. Gov. DeSantis would be wise to stay out of the fray. There is no need to rush an announcement when you are the big dog after the Golden Don. Who knows? There may be a moment Trump is indicted, in a dark spot and he anoints his successor to finish the MAGA job he began. If that does not happen, keep your shirt clean Gov. DeSantis, and get ready for Newsom in ‘28. Do it on your terms, not to fulfill the wishes of snakes whispering in your ear.
9 Comments Add yours
I’m the guy who started the Boycott American Women blog, and i admit i was quite a woman hater but i went thru a spiritual awakening and now I’m trying to heal women instead of hurt them. Anyway if you wanna ask me questions or do an interview, just DM me on instagram at tantrahealermaster
desantis is a bush family bot. look at the pic of hid 2023 inauguration . jeb bush is standing right behind him
Ron should be Trump running mate, so he can be re-elected again two more times. That’s 12 years total in the White House. Plus he can stay governor til Jan. ‘25 inauguration. Plus he’s not a MSMmedia sucker like Trump was, he’ll train Trump not to be own worst enemy, again. Sorta like Susan Rice is trying to do with Brandon, but failing. Ron won’t fail.
You gotta be joking. Trump is finished. Self-destructed. His former base despises him (I count myself among them). Besides, elections are riddled with fraud anyway so there is absolutely zero difference here between who runs. Best we can do is boycott elections en masses. Better yet, sabotage the living shit out of this country’s government. Fuck it all and accelerate already.
Reblogged this on Calculus of Decay .
There is a zero percent chance america ever gets another republican president. They’re never going to let it happen again. The riggers won’t let Trump win again (though in a primary he’ll undoubtably win, I mean getting the presidency, that will absolutely never happen again) and I highly doubt Desantis will either. If there is another republican in the white house it’ll be Tim Scott or his like, not an actual conservative. Zero percent chance. The rigging is just too strong to overcome and the GOP has gone right on along with it the whole way. There was maybe a time they could’ve done something about it, but that time was likely before any of us here were born.
Dont care about any of these faggots
Author must live in FL, don’t blame you.
No GOP or Populist or anyone but Neolib puppetry in the WH now.
Probably a Dem.
Rubio might get in the WH, with Secretary of State Victoria Nuland.
DeSantis should not be wasted on this nonsense, he has more strength staying in FL.
Trump is already a flop, apparently not having Zucker at CNN is a net negative. Trump is good for noise, has no idea how the government runs or how to fix it, great at starting fights then hiding, no ability to garner allies or gain respect, just contemptuous enemies. He failed when he gave up Flynn, not that he ever stood by anyone but Jared, the $2B peacemaker.
Trump did us some good, then yuge harm on back end from his big mouth, can’t forgive him for calling a rally Jan 6 then driving away.
Trump is done, but we shouldn’t waste DeSantis’s modest gifts on DC, no way (DeSantis is a JAG lawyer, we need Ghenghis Khan).